NSW Health says GP co-payment will add 500,000 to emergency admissions

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State health department estimates hospitals will have to cope with an extra half million patients a year if payment is introduced

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New South Wales hospitals will face an extra 500,000 admissions to emergency under a $6 GP co-payment, figures show. Photograph: Maria Zsoldos/AAP

Emergency departments in New South Wales will be flooded with an extra half a million people a year if the federal government introduces its GP co-payment, internal health department documents suggest.

The move would increase emergency department costs by $80m a year, according to a preliminary study prepared for the NSW government in May. The analysis by NSW Health was based on a $6 GP fee, rather than the planned $7 fee.

The NSW opposition leader, John Robertson, said the co-payment would be a “disaster”.

“It will smash the NSW health system,” he said in a statement on Wednesday. “Thousands of people will be forced to turn up in emergency departments to avoid paying the fee to their local GP.”

The documents were obtained through a call for papers by the NSW Legislative Council on the impact of the GP co-payment on NSW.

There were 2.6m presentations to NSW emergency departments in 2012-13. However, the study shows that figure would jump by 27% with 500,000 extra attendances.

“The GP tax will be a disaster for families using emergency departments,” Robertson said.

The NSW health minister, Jillian Skinner, said the study used “rudimentary scenarios” resulting in “preliminary” figures.

“[NSW Health] has undertaken no detailed modelling on potential impacts since the federal budget handed down in May, and I have not commissioned any modelling,” she said.